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Aug 18

Week of 8/18/2008 thru 8/22/2008

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Monday, August 18, 2008 Economic 1:00pm August NAHB Housing Market Index (last 16) Events BoJRate Decision. Noble Financial Mad Max Equity Conference. TradesEx-split: TWI 5-4. Trades Ex-dividend: HON $0.275, MRO $0.24, TGT$0.16, WAG $0.113, AFL $0.24, MCO $0.10. Earnings Before the Open: LOW , PWRD, PRGO, TSL, YTEC. After the Close: CNTF, SGK, XFML, BHP . Tuesday, August 19, 2008 Economic 8:30am July PPI (last m/m 1.8%, y/y 9.2%, ex food & energy last m/m 0.2%,y/y 3.0%), July Housing

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Aug 18

Leading indicators (July): a more marked decline than in June

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Housing starts (July): significant downward correction after surprise jump in June Philadelphia Fed index (August): down again, indicating ongoing weakness in manufacturing The NAHB index fell from 18 to 16 in July, indicating that the housing market is unlikely to improve in the near future. We expect the NAHB index of homebuilding activity to remain unchanged at its record low of 16 in August. Housing starts and building permits rose sharply by 9.1% mom and 11.6% mom in June. However, this

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Aug 18

German ZEW economic sentiment (August): down again, but not as sharply as in July

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RBS PMI manufacturing indices Germany and EMU (August): down, but less steeply than in July Germany: ZEW economic sentiment usually follows ifo business expectations In August , the German ZEW economic sentiment will probably have dropped for the fifth consecutive time, but not as sharply as in the last two months. Both the US ISM manufacturing index and the ifo business expectations have deteriorated. The German yield spread has also done so recently, as long-term interest rates have gone

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Aug 11

Industrial production (July): slower than June

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Trade deficit (June): noticeably wider due to surge in petroleum prices Retail sales (July): slight decrease despite tax rebates boost Consumer prices (July) : less pressure from energy prices New York Empire (August): indicating ongoing weakness in manufacturing UMI consumer sentiment (August): higher, but still close to long-time low The trade deficit fell in May, especially in real terms. As the graph shows, real net exports contributed 2.4 points to GDP growth in the 2nd quarter, and about

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Aug 11

EMU industrial production (June): more or less unchanged

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German, French and EMU GDP growth (Q2): probably weak HICP inflation in the euro area (July):likely to be confirmed at 4.1% yoy German GDP will probably have decreased by at least 0.7% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2008 , as output in the producing sector and retail sales dropped. Moreover, the sharp Q1 GDP growth rate is likely to be revised down from 1.5% to about 1.2% quarter-on-quarter. The previous four years’ data might be revised too. On 14 August, Destatis (the German Federal Statistical

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Aug 11

Week of 8/11/2008 thru 8/15/2008

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Monday, August 11, 2008 Economic None Seen Events Keefe,Bruyette & Woods Large Cap Bank Conference. EnerCom Oil & GasConference. Credit Suisse Tech Communications Conference. TradesEx-dividend: WYE $0.28, XOM $0.40, NE $0.04, ED $0.585, FO $0.44. Earnings Beforethe Open: AEY, AERG, KDE, ARQL, CNTY, CCO, CODI, CNO, CRZ, ES, DNE,EMAG, FCFC, FTEK, GMET, SRVY, HWCC, HYGS, NRGY, ISPH, IONA, KNOL,LCAPA, LINTA, MESA, NRP, NCT, OMPI, PEIX, PLT, RDN, RDNT, RTK, SMHG,STRL, SYNM, SYY , SWWE,

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Aug 05

Week of 8/4/2008 thru 8/8/2008

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Monday, August 04, 2008 Economic 7:30am July Challenger Job Cuts y/y (last 46.7%) 8:30am June PCE Deflator y/y (last 3.1%), June PCE Core (last m/m 0.1%, y/y2.1%), June Personal Income (last 1.9%), June Personal Spending (last0.8%) 10:00am June Factory Orders (last 0.6%) Events MarcusEvans Buildings and Facilities Conference. Oppenheimer Small & MidCap Clinical and Regulatory Conference, Pacific Crest TechnologyLeadership Forum. Trades Ex-dividend: XLNX $0.14, VLO $0.15, ZION$0.43, HAR

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Aug 05

PCE core deflator (June): slightly higher, above the Fed’s comfort zone

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ISM non-manufacturing index (July): unchanged at contraction level Fed funds rate: on hold Personal income rose by 1.9% mom in May, boosted by the tax cheques. But as only part of the extra income was spent, personal spending only increased by 0.8% mom, while the savings rate jumped from a meager 0.4% to 5.0%. The GDP figures for Q2 indicate that personal income decreased in June, because fewer tax cheques were sent out. We expect personal income to have fallen by 0.7% mom in June. The retail

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Aug 04

German industrial new orders (June): down

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Output in the German producing sector (June): stable Italian GDP (Q2): unchanged quarter-on-quarter ECB refi rate: on hold German industrial new orders probably plummeted in June , as the correlated climate indicators deteriorated. However, output in the German producing sector could have remained stable: the correlated indicators painted a mixed picture and the relatively high number of working days will have had a positive effect. The German trade balance and current account are likely to

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Aug 04

Week of 8/4/2008 thru 8/8/2008

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Monday, August 04, 2008 Economic 7:30am July Challenger Job Cuts y/y (last 46.7%) 8:30am June PCE Deflator y/y (last 3.1%), June PCE Core (last m/m 0.1%, y/y2.1%), June Personal Income (last 1.9%), June Personal Spending (last0.8%) 10:00am June Factory Orders (last 0.6%) Events MarcusEvans Buildings and Facilities Conference. Oppenheimer Small & MidCap Clinical and Regulatory Conference, Pacific Crest TechnologyLeadership Forum. Trades Ex-dividend: XLNX $0.14, VLO $0.15, ZION$0.43, HAR

Forex Broker Pro

Week of 8/18/2008 thru 8/22/2008

Leading indicators (July): a more marked decline than in June

German ZEW economic sentiment (August): down again, but not as sharply as in July

Industrial production (July): slower than June

EMU industrial production (June): more or less unchanged

Week of 8/11/2008 thru 8/15/2008

Week of 8/4/2008 thru 8/8/2008

PCE core deflator (June): slightly higher, above the Fed’s comfort zone

German industrial new orders (June): down

Week of 8/4/2008 thru 8/8/2008

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